Who will be the next senate democratic leader?
1
100Ṁ30
2031
25%
Brian Schatz
25%
Chris Murphy
25%
Chris Van Hollen
25%
Other

Resolution criteria

  • Resolves to the first person officially elected by the Senate Democratic Caucus as its “Democratic Leader” (majority or minority) after market creation, replacing the incumbent (Chuck Schumer as of September 17, 2025). Verification will come from: (1) the caucus “Our Leadership” page, (2) an official Senate Democrats press release, or (3) reporting from major outlets (e.g., AP) that clearly states the caucus elected X as leader. Acting/interim designations do not count unless the caucus explicitly elects that person as “Democratic Leader.” (democrats.senate.gov)

Background

  • How leader is chosen: Senate Democrats elect leadership by secret ballot within the Conference; officers are elected beginning no earlier than December before a new Congress or whenever a vacancy occurs. (democrats.senate.gov)

  • Current state: Schumer remains Senate Democratic Leader; the caucus site lists him as leader as of 2025. He faced calls to step down in March 2025 but said he would not. (democrats.senate.gov)

  • Notes on listed answers:

    • Brian Schatz (HI): Chief Deputy Whip for the 119th Congress and a Deputy Democratic Conference Secretary; serves on Appropriations. (durbin.senate.gov)

    • Chris Murphy (CT): Deputy Democratic Conference Secretary; serves on Appropriations. (democrats.senate.gov)

    • Chris Van Hollen (MD): Serves on Appropriations. (democrats.senate.gov)

Considerations

  • Timing: Caucus leadership elections usually occur after general elections (late Nov/Dec) or immediately upon a vacancy; market will not resolve until a new leader is actually elected. (democrats.senate.gov)

  • Majority vs. minority: The same individual serves as party leader regardless of Senate control; title switches between Majority and Minority Leader but that does not affect resolution. (senate.gov)

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