Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will Troy Jackson win his hometown?
4
Ṁ1kṀ271
Nov 3
61%
chance

Resolves YES if Troy Jackson, the Democratic Nominee for senate in Maine, wins the most votes in the town of Allagash for the 2026 Maine Senate election. Resolves according to first round winner if ranked choice votes are used. Resolves no if it is a tie.

There tends to be less than 200 votes here per election.

Previous elections results of note in Allagash:

  • Trump won the 2024 presidential election here by about 20%, 92 votes to 60.

  • Trump won the 2020 presidential election here by about 11.8%, 95 votes to 75.

  • Susan Collins won the 2020 Maine Senate election here by about 13.9%, 90 votes to 67.

  • Troy Jackson won 29 of the 37 first round votes for the 2026 Dem Governor primary here. 44 votes were case in the Republican primary. Note: Troy placed 3rd statewide in the Dem governor primary and was selected as the replacement to Graham Platner.

  • In 2022, The last time he was on a general election ballot(for state senate), he won 72 votes in Allagash compared to his opponents 62. (margin of victory about 6.5%)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Allagash,_Maine

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!