Will Incumbent Greens MP Julie Anne Genter win Wellington Bays at the 2026 NZ General election?

As a guide, The overhang gives them a 90-99% chance. The Overhang 2.10 - Side splitting

The Overhang 2.10 - Side splitting

Part 3 of a series on how we forecast NZ election results looking at the candidate vote (with predictions).