Will Abdul El-Sayed underperform Jocelyn Benson, the Dem Governor Nominee?
2
Ṁ1kṀ1kNov 4
7%
He outperforms her by 3% or more
11%
He outperforms her by 0 to 2.99%
29%
He underpeforms her by 3 to 5.99%
20%
He underperforms her by 6 to 8.99%
16%
He underpeforms her by 9 to 11.99%
10%
He underperforms her by 12% to 14.99%
8%
He underpeforms her by 15% or more
This market will compare Abdul’s margin to Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic nominee for governors margin in the 2026 Michigan Senate and Governor elections.
For example, if Abdul wins by 5% and Benson wins by 12%, this would resolve He underperforms her by 6 to 8.99% (he underperformed by 7pts)
same if he loses. Eg. If he loses by 2 and she wins by 5, that means he underperformed by 7pts.
This market resolves according to official results, or can resolve early according to associated press if the results are clear.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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