Will Abdul El-Sayed underperform Jocelyn Benson, the Dem Governor Nominee?
3
Ṁ1kṀ282Nov 3
4%
He outperforms her by 3% or more
8%
He outperforms her by 0 to 2.99%
12%
He underpeforms her by 0 to 2.99%
18%
He underpeforms her by 3 to 5.99%
25%
He underperforms her by 6 to 8.99%
13%
He underpeforms her by 9 to 11.99%
13%
He underperforms her by 12% to 14.99%
7%
He underperforms her by 15% or more
This market will compare Abdul’s margin to Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic nominee for governors margin in the 2026 Michigan Senate and Governor elections.
For example, if Abdul wins by 5% and Benson wins by 12%, this would resolve He underperforms her by 6 to 8.99% (he underperformed by 7pts)
same if he loses. Eg. If he loses by 2 and she wins by 5, that means he underperformed by 7pts.
This market resolves according to official results, or can resolve early according to associated press if the results are clear.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Abdul El Sayed Winning margin in 2026 Michigan Senate election?
Will Abdul El-Sayed win by a larger margin than James Talarico does?
73% chance
Will Abdul El-Sayed win by 7 points or more?
20% chance
Will Abdul El Sayed win by 100,000 votes or more?
67% chance
Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 5% or more?
37% chance
Will Abdul El Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Election by 3% or more?
52% chance
Will Abdul El Sayed win Michigan senate 2026 election?
77% chance
Which Democrats will underperform Kamala Harris this year?
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?
76% chance
What percentage of the Black vote will Abdul El-Sayed get?