What will have higher turnout in 2026, the Ohio GOP Governor Primary. Or Ohio Dem Senate Primary?

Question

Resolves to the primary with the highest number of votes cast, the OHIO Republican(gop) Primary for Governor, the Ohio Democratic primary for senate.

For example, in 2022, this would have resolved OHIO gop Governor, as 1,080,083 > 517497

[image][image]Update 2026-03-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator notes that there may not be a GOP Senate primary (Jon Husted is presumptive nominee) or an Ohio Dem Governor primary (Amy Acton is presumptive nominee). The market compares the Ohio GOP Governor Primary vs. the Ohio Dem Senate Primary specifically.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Ohio DEM Senate Special and Ohio GOP Governor are most likely. See the market for live updates (4 traders, as of Mar 23, 2026).

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