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MANIFOLD
What price will the S&P500 hit by end of March 2026?
50
Ṁ1.9kṀ38k
resolved Apr 1
Resolved
YES
$6600
Resolved
YES
$6500
Resolved
YES
$6400
Resolved
YES
$6350
Resolved
YES
$6450
Resolved
NO
$7100
Resolved
NO
$7000
Resolved
NO
$6900
Resolved
NO
$6300
Resolved
NO
$6200
Resolved
NO
$6100
Resolved
NO
$6000
Resolved
NO
$5750
Resolved
NO
$5500
Resolved
NO
$5250
Resolved
NO
$5000
Resolved
NO
$4000
Resolved
NO
$2000
Resolved
NO
$6250

Final day will be March 31 2026.

Resolves based on what price the s&p500 has hit during trading hours (before/after hours excluded)

Resolves using yahoo finances 1 minute interval data.

https://nz.finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

  • Update 2026-03-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The S&P 500 price must be hit after market creation (not before) to count for resolution.

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@traders trade on this months closing price! :

@Jack1 all remaining resolve NO, thanks.

@traders what month will the s&p500 first close at 6000 in?

bought Ṁ20 YES

@Jack1 we've taken out 6450 and 6400

awesome!

bought Ṁ60 NO

@traders added 6250 and 6350 and 6450

opened a Ṁ3 YES at 38% order

@Jack1 any time in March or only after market creation?

@deagol after mark creation. But I don't think any of these were hit before market creation anyway.

@Jack1 $6900 would be YES on March 2

@Jack1 instead of the 1-min chart, the Historical data is much easier to check for highs/lows:

@deagol market start time seems to be quite a bit after the 2nd

opened a Ṁ3 YES at 56% order

@Cactus right it's the 9th, i was just showing the hypothetical including all of march

reposted

Get in on this market!

reposted

Tomorrow is probably glimg to be terrible for the sp500

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