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Mary Peltola vs Graham Platner: Who will get more % in the first round?
11
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Nov 3
Mary Peltola (Alaska)52%

Alaska and Maine both used ranked choice voting.

This will resolve based on their vote % in the FIRST round.

No future round will be used.

This is for the GENERAL election. Not Primary.

N/a if one of them or both doesn’t appear on the general election ballot.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Maine

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Alaska

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If anyone wants to put a limit order I’ll check it out

@Jack1 the polling averages for these races are about the same although obviously alaska is less frequently polled, i think pricing this at a coin toss is pretty accurate LOL. not willing to put a huge bet in at these odds anymore, platner seems to be a stronger candidate than I thought (or maybe maine voters hate collins deeply)

opened a Ṁ2,500 YES at 41% order

@SaviorofPlant i put a small limit order for peltola at 41%

@SaviorofPlant this is also potentially very impacted by whoever advances to the second round in these states. alaska's top-four system could easily advance two dems, and in 2020 maine had 5% of the first round vote taken by some random leftist third party