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MANIFOLD
Excluding Susan Collins, will any Republican senate candidate get a higher percent of the vote than trump did in 2024?
1
Ṁ1kṀ250
Dec 31
65%
chance

Eg. Trump got 49.73% in Michigan in 2024. Mike rogers would need to get 49.74% or more to resolve yes.

Or eg. Trump got 64.20% in Arkansas in 2024. Will Tom cotton get 64.21% in 2026?

Resolves yes if any Republican candidate in any 2026 us senate election does better than trump did in their state in 2024.

In Georgia, resolves based on the first round, unless it goes to a runoff, in which it would resolve based on the runoff.

In Alaska with ranked choice voting, resolves based on the final round.

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