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MANIFOLD
Who will claim the Los Angeles Mayor or California Governor election was rigged, cheated or stolen before July?
19
Ṁ1kṀ2.1k
resolved Jul 4
Resolved
YES
Donald trump
Resolved
YES
Megyn kelly
Resolved
YES
Any Republican senator
Resolved
NO
Spencer pratt
Resolved
NO
Chad bianco
Resolved
NO
Steve hilton
Resolved
NO
Jd vance
Resolved
NO
Tom steyer
Resolved
NO
Nithya raman
Resolved
NO
Any Republican congressperson (includes Kevin kiley)

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the listed person makes a public claim between June 2, 2026, and June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM EDT, that either the 2026 California Gubernatorial election (including the primary) or the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election (including the primary) was "rigged", "cheated", "stolen", or otherwise compromised by decisive voter fraud.

  • Acceptable Sources: Official posts on social media, official campaign press releases, or direct public remarks documented by major media outlets (e.g., The Los Angeles Times, Associated Press, Reuters).

  • Keyword requirements: The claim must use words such as "rigged", "cheated", "stolen", "scam", "fraudulent", or "fraud" (or direct synonyms indicating intentional theft/manipulation) specifically directed at either the CA Governor or LA Mayor elections.

  • Excluded: General complaints about California’s mail-in voting process or state laws do not suffice unless the person explicitly connects those complaints to the outcome of either of these two specific races. Statements made prior to June 2, 2026 (such as his late-May remarks regarding Spencer Pratt or Steve Hilton) do not count for resolution.

  • If no such statement is made within the timeframe, the market resolves to NO.

Any form of the word counts, eg. If they say democrats are currently cheating, this would resolve them to yes. Doesn’t have to be past tense.

GENERAL COMPLAINTS ABOUT DELAYS IN REPORTING DONT COUNT

I will not trade so I can make a fair judgement.

Please provide details if you want someone to resolve yes. I will do a little bit of digging when I resolve the market, but I can’t guarantee I’ll find everything. Please post in the comments evidence if you find it. Ask questions before trading if you have any concerns.

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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