Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if both of the following conditions are met:
IPO Date: Anthropic begins public trading on a recognized major stock exchange (e.g., Nasdaq or NYSE) on or before November 30, 2026.
Market Cap Threshold: On the final official trading session of November 2026 (or its debut session, if it occurs on the final day), Anthropic's closing market capitalization is equal to or greater than $1.25 trillion ($1,250,000,000,000).
Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
The official market capitalization will be verified using primary financial data providers (such as Nasdaq, Bloomberg, or MarketWatch) based on closing price multiplied by total shares outstanding (basic or diluted, as reported in its SEC final prospectus / pricing filings).
If Anthropic does not complete an initial public offering or direct listing by 11:59 PM ET on November 30, 2026, the market resolves to NO.
Mergers, acquisitions, or SPAC completions that make Anthropic publicly traded within the window also count as public debuts.
1,000