Background

Donald Trump is currently in his second term as President of the United Staets.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on when Donald Trump ceases to be President of the United States:

• "Before January 2029" resolves YES if Trump's presidency ends before January 1, 2029 (e.g., is removed from office, or does not complete his second term)

• "In January 2029" resolves YES if Trump completes a full second term ending somtime in January 2029 (specifically January 20, 2029, when the next president is expected to be sworn in, though the question is open to anytime during the month of January 2029 in order to account for some possibility that the date of the inaguration changes)

• "After January 2029" resolves YES if Trump remains president beyond January 31, 2029

Only one answer can resolve YES, while the others will resolve NO.

Considerations

Due to the 22nd Amendment's two-term limit, "After January 2029" would require extraordinary and highly unlikely circumstances, such as a constitutional amendment or other unprecedented situation. The normal constitutional process would require Trump to leave office in January 2029 if he serves a second full term.