What will Kamala Harris's Nate Silver election forecast be on October 1?
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resolved Oct 1
100%94%
50-60%
0.3%
<30%
0.4%
30-40%
4%
40-50%
1.0%
60-70%
0.3%
>=70%

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

Resolves to the latest Nate Silver election forecast for Harris on October 1 for the Electoral College forecast, aka who is favored to win the presidency.

50-60% means 50% inclusive, 60% exclusive.

The forecast itself is paywalled, however you can check Twitter accounts like https://x.com/PpollingNumbers and https://x.com/IAPolls2022 , or by searching "Nate Silver" in twitter search for the forecast.

September 10:

Related:

/HillaryClinton/will-harris-lead-in-nate-silvers-el-lkqwf3tlzz

/jim/nate-silvers-model-to-favour-harris

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