Kamala Harris Nate Silver election forecast on October 10?
Standard
41
Ṁ11kresolved Oct 10
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
50-55%
0.1%
<45%
0.1%
45-50%
0.6%
55-60%
0.2%
60-65%
0.1%
>=65%
Resolves to the latest Nate Silver election forecast for Harris on October 10 for the Electoral College forecast, aka who is favored to win the presidency.
October 9:
The forecast itself is paywalled(https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model), however you can check Twitter accounts like https://x.com/PpollingNumbers , or use this search query: https://x.com/search?q=%22nate%20silver%22%20min_faves%3A20&src=typed_query&f=live Additionally, 538's model is similar. 50-55% means 50% inclusive, 55% exclusive.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and1.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Harris lead in Nate Silver's election forecast on October 31st?
69% chance
Nate Silver's Presidential forecast - Will Harris reach 60% before Trump regains the lead?
Will Harris lead in Nate Silver's Final election forecast?
71% chance
Will Kamala Harris’ “electionbettingodds” exceed 55.5% before November 2024?
20% chance
Will Nate Silver's model have a higher probability of Kamala victory than electionbettingodds.com on election day?
60% chance
Will Harris lead in the 538 election forecast on October 31st?
78% chance
How many times will Trump and Harris' win chances have crossed in Nate Silver's forecast by election day?
Will Harris lead in the final 538 election forecast?
79% chance
When will Trump overtake Harris in Nate Silver's Presidential forecast?
How many times will Trump and Harris exchange the lead on "electionbettingodds" through November 4?