Resolves to the latest Nate Silver election forecast for Harris on October 10 for the Electoral College forecast, aka who is favored to win the presidency.

October 9:

The forecast itself is paywalled(https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model), however you can check Twitter accounts like https://x.com/PpollingNumbers , or use this search query: https://x.com/search?q=%22nate%20silver%22%20min_faves%3A20&src=typed_query&f=live Additionally, 538's model is similar. 50-55% means 50% inclusive, 55% exclusive.