MANIFOLD
Will this market resolve NO?
8
แน€100แน€420
in 2 hours
91%
chance

This is a special monthly market. It will resolve NO at 11:59 PM PT, then unresolve and resolve YES at 12:01 AM PT on the first day of the new month.

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แน€1,000
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i feel like this could have a dramatic effect on league standings ;-;

@Qoiuoiuoiu it's unranked.

@BlackCrusade noooooo i forgot about that... incredibly tragic

@Qoiuoiuoiu wait so what's the rationale for betting no, then?

@Qoiuoiuoiu this question will in a roundabout way resolve YES.

@BlackCrusade So you're guaranteed to lose money by betting NO?

@Qoiuoiuoiu yes, because if it resolves NO then it did resolve NO meaning this must resolve YES.

When it is reresolved your winnings will be clawed back if you held a NO position.

bought แน€50 YES

@BlackCrusade wait so why is this not at 99% then

@Qoiuoiuoiu because you haven't claimed your free mana yet.

bought แน€25 YES

@BlackCrusade The fact that it's not at 99% implies that there's some flaw in my reasoning. Besides, there are four people betting NO... either they didn't read the description or they know something I don't?

@Qoiuoiuoiu it's unlikely they understand what they are betting on or don't understand that claw backs occur on manifold.

bought แน€50 YES

@BlackCrusade primer knows what he's doing i think

@Qoiuoiuoiu there's always the chance that this will resolve back and forth for eternity since whatever it resolves to is incorrect.

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