Which hour will Jimmy Carter die during 2024?
21
1.4kแน€44k
resolved Dec 30
100%90%
3 PM
0.5%
12 AM (Midnight)
0.4%
1 AM
0.4%
2 AM
0.5%
3 AM
0.4%
4 AM
0.5%
5 AM
0.5%
6 AM
0.4%
7 AM
0.5%
8 AM
0.4%
9 AM
0.4%
10 AM
0.4%
11 AM
0.4%
12 PM (Noon)
0.4%
1 PM
0.4%
2 PM
0.4%
4 PM
0.4%
5 PM
0.4%
6 PM
0.4%
7 PM

Resolve based on what timezone Jimmy Carter dies in. Resolves no if he's still alive at the start of 2025

George W. Bush died at 10:10 p.m. Central Standard Time. So his hour of death would resolve to 10pm.

Jimmy Markets | Dashboard | Wiki | Naval Service

Tropic 7 | Civ 7 | Farcry 7

April Fools | Cinco De Mayo | Day of the Dead

mira |

Week | Month | Quarter | Season | Year

Odds | Evens | Weekday | Weekend | Federal Holiday

  • Update 2024-21-12 (PST): * Market will resolve N/A if Jimmy Carter does not die during 2024 (AI summary of creator comment)

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sold แน€177 NO

This is linked when it should be unlinked, so has to resolve N/A I think.

filled a แน€229 NO at 3% order

@JCDM Wait, I understand now too. One option MUST resolve YES.

There is no "None" option, so if he doesn't die this year, it's impossible to resolve this market in a way that makes sense.

sold แน€175 NO

You might be able to salvage this market by changing the title to "If Jimmy Carter dies during 2024, which hour will he die during?". This preserves the N/A result making sense.

@Quroe Ahh RIP, I'll N/A if he doesn't die

@JCDM I already bet expecting them all to resolve no if he doesn't die. Can you not just add another option?

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