Outcome of the Dutch 2025 parliamentary elections (resolves according to seat share)
2
650Ṁ80
Dec 31
19%
PVV
18%
GL-PVDA
12%
VVD
7%
CDA
5%
D66
3%
SP
3%
ChristenUnie
3%
SGP
3%
DENK
3%
FvD
3%
50PLUS
3%
PvdD
3%
JA21
3%
Volt
3%
BBB
3%
NSC
3%
BIJ1
3%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official seat distribution in the Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer) following the 2025 parliamentary elections (currently scheduled for October 29th, 2025). Based on the seat distribution (not vote share!) I will compute the percentages used to resolve this market.

E.g. If VVD wins 30 seats, their option resolves to 20%.

Official results will be sourced from the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad) at https://www.kiesraad.nl/.

Background

In June 2025, the Dutch coalition government collapsed after Geert Wilders, leader of the far-right Freedom Party (PVV), withdrew his support due to disagreements over immigration policies. This led to the resignation of Prime Minister Dick Schoof and the scheduling of new elections.

Elections
Elections: World
The Netherlands
Nederland
2025 Dutch Tweede Kamer Election
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