How many deaths will the LA times report have resulted from the Los Angeles area fires that began January 7th 2025?
95
11kṀ130kresolved Feb 25
100%78%
19-38
0.8%
0
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
4-8
1.8%
9-18
10%
39-80
4%
81-160
1.3%
161-256
0.8%
256-500
0.8%
501-1000
0.6%
More than 1000
Update 2025-11-01 (PST): - Casualties in this market refer exclusively to deaths, not including injuries. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-11-01 (PST): - Do not count any articles from the LA Times reporting on excess deaths due to smoke, air quality. (AI summary of creator comment)
Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Market closure will be extended if the fires are still burning or a final number hasn’t been reached due to still missing persons or ongoing investigations for fatalities not yet completed. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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