Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, a wildfire occurs in California that ranks among the top 10 largest wildfires in the state's recorded history, based on total acreage burned. The ranking will be determined using official data from the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection (CAL FIRE)

Background

The top 10 largest fires in California history by acres burned are:

1. August Complex Fire (2020): 1,032,648 acres

2. Dixie Fire (2021): 963,309 acres

3. Mendocino Complex Fire (2018): 459,123 acres

4. Park Fire (2024): 429,603 acres

5. SCU Lightning Complex Fire (2020): 396,625 acres

6. Creek Fire (2020): 379,895 acres

7. LNU Lightning Complex Fire (2020): 363,220 acres

8. North Complex Fire (2020): 318,935 acres

9. Thomas Fire (2017): 281,893 acres

10. Cedar Fire (2003): 273,246 acres