Will a famous person bet on this market?
4
1kṀ5202027
10%
chance
3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For them to be famous, they have to have a Wikipedia page with 1000+ words (body text only, not subtitles, tables, captions, etc.) or a social media account with 1m+ followers/subscribers.
It has to be proven that the person is who they say they are. Vandalizing a Wikipedia page to increase a page's word count or using bots to increase a user's follower count is invalid.
The bet must occur before 2027, UTC.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I actually checked this before I made the market. He doesn't meet the criteria. I think the only people on the site who are famous enough are @LexFridman and @LuigiMangione and @geohot