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MANIFOLD
SPOI | Will the Destiny orbiter market increase in value? (Nov. 14 to Nov. 28)
16
Ṁ310Ṁ711
resolved Nov 29
Resolved
NO

Steven and the Parasocials' Orbiter Index

The SPOI attempts to gauge market sentiment on the value of orbiters in general to Destiny's stream. In use it is closer to stock options than the SPY, but is completely different in function. At the beginning of trade open, the values of the top 5 orbiter stocks (outlined in each post) will be recorded. Traders will bet on whether or not this average will increase or decrease after 2 weeks. Each SPOI option will be open to trade for exactly one week after posting, and will resolve after two weeks; a yes meaning there was an increase on average, no meaning there was a decrease. Good luck!

Orbiter record for 5:00PM PST 11/14/2022:

Aba - 81%

Dan - 82%

Erudite - 77%

Mel - 75%

Zherka - 60%

Average: 75%

This is the value I will compare with at the end of two weeks. If you believe that the average will be greater than 75% on 11/28/22 vote yes, if less, vote no. In the event of a tie the first price movement after 5:00 PM on resolution day decides the outcome.

This market is now closed for trading. On Nov. 28th the market will be resolved according to the above rules.

New SPOI open now for Nov. 21 to Dec. 5!

Nov 21, 4:35pm: SPOI | Will the Destiny orbiter market increase in value? → SPOI | Will the Destiny orbiter market increase in value? (Nov. 14 to Nov. 28)

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Result: at 5:00PM PST values were Aba: 76 Dan: 82 Erudite: 79 Mel:71 Zherka: 67 Avg: 75 (Tie) First price movement was 5:06 PM PST down for erudite so the market did not increase in value