This market resolves based on the total balance of the U.S. national strategic crypto reserve as of January 1, 2026.
As of now, the U.S. does not have an officially established strategic crypto reserve, but there have been discussions and proposals around creating one. This market will track whether such a reserve is established and what its total value would be.
Resolution will be based on official government announcements, Treasury Department reports, or reputable financial news sources reporting on the reserve's balance.
If no strategic crypto reserve exists on January 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "$0 (Does not exist)".
Update 2025-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Value Measurement Timing Clarification
The resolution will be based on the most recent published official value available as of market close.
This published value will be used even if there is a slight discrepancy from the exact January 1, 2026, balance, provided it reflects the official data reported at market close.
It is assumed that any fluctuations within the reporting period will be minimal due to the large value bands.
1,000Distribution at the same point in time:
https://manifold.markets/gigab0nus/us-crypto-reserve-allocation
Initial capitalization market: https://manifold.markets/IsaacLiu/what-will-be-the-initial-capitaliza
@JussiVilleHeiskanen ill use the most recent published value as of market close
+also I would hope they don't fluctuate too much between these fairly big bands