Will there be significant social unrest, protests, riots, etc. over the results of the 2024 presidential election?
Plus
113
Ṁ14kFeb 1
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Significant enough to make national news and be a talking point. The January 6th riot in 2020 would have counted, as would the "not my president" protests in 2016.
A single news article on the protest doesn't count; it needs to be a part of The Discourse™. A big thing that even someone who isn't very involved in politics would probably hear about on social media.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Major Election Riots in 2024-2025?
10% chance
What major events will occur in connection with 2024 election?
Will the US see a large-scale riot by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will there be major social unrest in the USA by July 2025?
24% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
33% chance
Will there be significant Right-Wing riots between Presidential Election Day 2024 (11/05/24) and inauguration (01/20/25)?
10% chance
Conditional on Trump/Biden winning the 2024 presidential, will there be a large scale rioting in the US before 2026 ?
If the Republicans do not win the US 2024 election, will the civil unrest 'trump' the 2020 civil unrest after Biden won?
42% chance
If Trump wins, will there be wide scale civil disorder in the weeks following the election?
20% chance
Will there be a major spike in protests in the US in 2024 (comparable to the 2020 George Floyd protests)?
9% chance