Will there be more traders who bet in this market from Discord than traders who didn't?
12
47
270
resolved Mar 4
Resolved
NO

The Manifold Discord server (which you can join here) has recently instituted a new /market command that lets people bet in markets directly from Discord. This market resolves based on how many traders use that option to bet here, and whether it's more than half of the total unique traders of this market.

If someone bets on Discord and also directly on Manifold (or via the API), I'll count them as a Discord bettor. The only people who don't count as Discord bettors are people who never placed any bets here via Discord.

If this market gets posted multiple times in the Discord I'll include all of them that I'm aware of, but please don't spam it.

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I see 2 from Discord, 10 from Manifold. Any concerns before I resolve NO?

predicted NO
predicted NO

@IsaacKing zero concerns

predicted NO

Well?

Hmm, not looking good for team YES.

Currently at a NO, since Ian is the only trader here who came from Discord. But that could change pretty easily.

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