Will the Dan Stock market be at 75% or above on June 1st?
32
resolved Sep 9
Resolved
YES

This market resolves based on the price of /memestiny/dan-stock-permanent at the exact close date of this market.

For a version of this market that's harder to manipulate, see /IsaacKing/will-the-dan-stock-market-average-7

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will Match Group (MTCH) stock price go up this year?
itsTomekK avatarTomek K 🟡
57% chance
Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $190 before $170?
deagol avatarDaniel Tello
38% chance
Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $200 by Oct 31?
deagol avatarDaniel Tello
23% chance
Will the NASDAQ Composite reach above 14400 by the end of the calendar year
pain avatarpain
42% chance
Samsung stock price rises >=20% vs KRW in the next year?
GeorgeVii avatarGeorgeVii
70% chance
Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $200 by Oct 31?
Dingo avatarDingo
17% chance
Samsung stock price rises >=40% vs KRW in the next year?
GeorgeVii avatarGeorgeVii
29% chance
Samsung stock price rises >=70% vs KRW in the next year?
GeorgeVii avatarGeorgeVii
22% chance
If Adani crumbles will the Indian stock market take a >=20% hit? (see description)
GeorgeVii avatarGeorgeVii
16% chance
Will AAPL hit $200 before hitting $100?
nic_kup avatarnic
83% chance
Can Dragonfly Energy Holdings (DFLI) Stock Hit $100 Going Forward?
15cd avatar최한솔
24% chance
Samsung stock price DROPS >=20% vs KRW in the next year?
GeorgeVii avatarGeorgeVii
19% chance
will my stock portfolio go up next week?(July 28 ~ December 31)
COIN avatarCOIN
59% chance
Will Shinsung Delta Tech stock close below closing price of 2023-08-01 in 2023?
SanghyeonSeo avatarSanghyeon Seo
21% chance
will my stock portfolio go up next week?(July 28 ~ December 31)
COIN avatarCOIN
59% chance
Will Apple stock (AAPL) hit $500 before $50?
deagol avatarDaniel Tello
71% chance
Will Sportradar (SRAD) stock hit $20 by December 31st?
DeepDive avatarGamblingStocks
33% chance
From current levels, what will happen first the QQQ (Nasdaq 100 ETF) rising above 400 or sinking below 350 ?
Samsung stock price rises >=80% vs KRW in the next year?
GeorgeVii avatarGeorgeVii
9% chance
Will NIFTY close above 20000 by end of this year?
GreyBox avatarGrey Box
80% chance

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ212
2Ṁ120
3Ṁ70
4Ṁ65
5Ṁ41
Sort by:
IsaacKing avatar
Isaacpredicted NO

Would someone mind doing the math and confirming how this should resolve? I know that the "stock" market type is just an obfuscated binary market, but I don't know the details of the conversion.

1 reply
AkaJusten avatar
AkaJustenpredicted YES

@IsaacKing an employee did the math here: https://manifold.markets/memestiny/dan-stock-permanent#G7zB6XjKbatydN4XWWys.

75% should be 549 and the lowest i see on the timeline is 779.

AkaJusten avatar
AkaJustenpredicted YES

yo @IsaacKing can you resolve this na or something ?

2 replies
Agh avatar
Aghpredicted YES

@AkaJusten this must be resolved to Yes. In this comment an admin explained that 75% equals 549 mana stock price: https://manifold.markets/memestiny/dan-stock-permanent#G7zB6XjKbatydN4XWWys

And the stock didn't drop that far on that day.

AkaJusten avatar
AkaJustenpredicted YES

@Agh guess your right, i wont say no ;)

johnleoks avatar
johnleokspredicted YES
Comment hidden
2 replies
Agh avatar
Agh

Just as a warning to other traders: Somebody with a lot of mana could easily manipulate the Dan stock last second and flip the result of this bet.

5 replies
Wobbles avatar
Wobblespredicted NO

@Aghgg2 tbh one person would have the power to move it a few solid percentages down with Ṁ100

Simon1551 avatar
Simonpredicted YES

This question doesn't make much sense DesTiny would have to check the market at the exact moment it closes to know if it is above or below the required amount asked. But then let's say the market is below 75% most of the time and goes above 75% for a minute as the market is closing does it count?

goldenes56 avatar
goldenes56predicted NO

@Aghgg2 Just make a market about whether this will happen or not to lower the risk of this possibility

Simon1551 avatar
Simonpredicted YES

@goldenes56 does that really help?

IsaacKing avatar
Isaacbought Ṁ25 of YES

@Aghgg2 Good point. Here's a version that's harder to manipulate: