Will the candidate who wins the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election become president?
Basic
18
338
2025
70%
chance

"Win the popular vote" means they get more total votes than any other candidate.

This market could for example resolve NO if they:

  • Lose the electoral college vote.

  • Are banned last-minute from becoming president, such that they were on the ballot but can't take office.

  • Die before taking office.

Get Ṁ600 play money