Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2025?
Basic
6
Ṁ1032026
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If the ratio of highest point / lowest point is at least 2, this market resolves to YES. Otherwise it resolves to NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@JonathanSimon That's a much less interesting question IMO. Crypto proponents claim it's the currency of the future. If it's going to be a useful currency, it needs to be stable. If it's undergoing massive fluctuations, it's not a useful currency; doesn't matter whether its most recent movement has been up or down.
Not to mention that predictions about its expected movement direction are already included in its current price as per the EMH, so there's not much point in having a prediction market on that question as well.
Related questions
Related questions
Will bitcoin price be greater than $100,000 USD on Jan 1 2025
31% chance
Will the Bitcoin go down by more than 20% over 2024?
2% chance
Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2028?
40% chance
Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2030?
42% chance
Will the Bitcoin go up by more than 10% over 2024?
98% chance
Will the Bitcoin go up by more than 20% over 2024?
98% chance
Will Bitcoin be higher than $88,888 USD at the end of 2024?
83% chance
Will the price of Bitcoin have tripled 2 years from today?
76% chance
Will bitcoin price hit USD120,000 in 2024?
5% chance
What price will Bitcoin hit before EoY 2025