On any day, or at resolution?

.

this seems underpriced relative to the btc/gold flippening market

Does it have to be exactly triple, or anything greater than that?

@JonathanRay Anything greater counts!

This is more of a hyperinflation of the dollar question than a bitcoin specific one, to be honest.

@AndrewHartman There’s a lot of precedent for a commodity tripling in 2 years without hyperinflation

@JonathanRay When new uses are discovered, certainly. It's pretty rare though.

I will allow this is partly a "will bitcoin finally see mass adoption" question, but I rate that much lower than the hyperinflation scenario. Worth considering if you're the type to be buying limit orders but it's probably a magnitude lower than the main event.

@AndrewHartman I think a 3x bitcoin adoption is way more likely than hyperinflation

@JonathanRay I think our difference in opinion stems mainly from me thinking hyperinflation is much more likely than you do. Maybe also a bit from some hyperinflation scenarios not lifting bitcoin because society partly collapses, or something.

@AndrewHartman There are other markets directly about hyperinflation eg https://manifold.markets/ScottLawrence/usd-hyperinflation-by-2030?r=Sm9uYXRoYW5SYXk

US hyperinflation by 2030?

7% chance. Resolves YES if month-to-month inflation exceeds 50% in any month in the next decade. [markets]

@AndrewHartman

@Joshua I'm at about ~40% in the next 15 years.

@JonathanRay Yeah, I'm on that one.