Will suicide become allowed in any US state by the end of 2029?
20
1kṀ858
2030
16%
chance

In the US, suicide is "legal" in the sense that it's not technically a crime. But attempting to do it or even talking about doing it can get you imprisoned against your will and/or forced to take mind-altering drugs without your consent. Also, anyone trying to help you with it can be charged with a crime. So I'm using the term "allowed" instead, to get around its sham legal status.

This market resolves to YES if someone can decide they want to die and then make it happen without significant inconvenience. Otherwise it resolves to NO.

A few exceptions that will still allow this to resolve YES:

  • Children and others who are considered by society to be "unable to consent" may still be prevented from committting suicide without the consent of their guardian. But if those guardians do consent, the suicide must be allowed.

  • It's ok if there's a required period of reflection where the person is asked to think things through and make sure they aren't acting rashly, and/or talk to a therapist. That period must be a month or less, and the person must not be forced to take any drugs.

  • It's ok if the suicide must be supervised or happen in a certain place or way, such as to make sure it actually was suicide and not murder. But it must be easy for the suicidee to get to that place and to set this set up.

  • People who plausibly do not know what the words mean (young children, adults with severe mental disabilities) don't count as wanting to commit suicide if they express such a desire via words, but it does count if their actions clearly show they're trying to die.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy