Sinclair volunteered some interesting information in her field notes channel on Discord. [image]Resolves by self-report, or eyewitness accounts.

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 7% chance (10 traders, as of Apr 21, 2026).

Will @Sinclair be hit by a crab before 2028?

Will @Sinclair be hit by a crab before 2028?

Ṁ1kṀ1.4k

2028

chance

ALL

Sinclair volunteered some interesting information in her field notes channel on Discord.

Resolves by self-report, or eyewitness accounts.

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

bought Ṁ100 NO

as a startup dev I am really agile. I have confidence in my ability to dodge all incoming attacks

bought Ṁ100 NO

@Sinclair is still crab free, two years later ...

The first crabsassination - type market

Does it have to be a real and/or live crab?

predictedNO

@t3ss Any crab with sufficient crabbiness to enable a discussion of crustacean suffering qualifies.

predictedNO

(In the event of disagreement, Sinclair has the final word.)

if i suddenly take a big YES position, you know what's up

If she were hit by a crab, it would be a hungryboxian tragedy