Will Q1 of 2024 be the last quarter in which the news is not entirely full of AI drama until 2030?

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Ṁ7167

2030

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ALL

AKA "Will this other Yudkowsky tweet hold up".

https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1727517658390966605

savor the news timeline in Q1 2024, for those will be the last months of your existence when the news is not entirely full of AI drama

Resolves on vibes, I won't bet.

(Eliezer clarified in a reply that their prediction is unlikely to be true, but we can still bet on it!)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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Will you resolve this market before Q4 2024 if the news won't be full of AI drama in Q2 2024?

@IsaacKing, can you remove the capital letter at the start of the sentence and the period at the end? Their absence in the original tweet is an important cue to the fact that I'm joking.

@EliezerYudkowsky Sure, done.

@EliezerYudkowsky Looking at the capitals and periods in Eliezer tweets is the last resource I have left to distinguish reality from fiction at this point.

also 2.5k no at 33

I mean, there's US elections in Q4, no way that doesn't dominate headlines regardless of what's going on in AI space

@firstuserhere The elections can potentially end up dominated by AI drama.

limit order for 4k no at 50

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