I’ve spent much of the past two years working on a book about gambling and risk for Penguin Press. I am very excited about the book.

It’s an ambitious book. Subtopics include: poker, sports betting, game theory, venture capital and entrepreneurship, effective altruism, rationality and utilitarianism, existential risk, artificial intelligence, the cryptocurrency boom and the collapse of FTX, the commercial gambling industry, the personality traits associated with risk-taking, and declining life expectancy and changing attitudes toward risk in American society.

That’s a lot to take on, and part of the challenge is in explaining why this nerdy set of topics makes for a coherent whole. But I’ve been putting in a lot of work. The book is research- and reporting-intensive. I’ve interviewed something like 160 or 170 people and had a lot of very cool first-hand experiences. The reporting is mostly done and I know more or less what I want to say. But I still have the bulk of the writing to go — I’m about 25,000 words in so far.

-Nate Silver in May 2023

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_New_York_Times_Best_Seller_list