Recently the US government (among others) has discovered that it can circumvent inconvenient freedom of speech laws by pressuring private companies to kick people off their platform who say things the government doesn't like. Manifold currently has a pretty hands-off approach to content moderation, and I expect that if it gets more popular, there will be a lot of content here that various governments don't want said.

This market resolves YES if any payment processor, web hosting company, or other service that Manifold relies on chooses to deny them service due to Manifold's unwillingness to moderate certain content. Otherwise it resolves NO at the beginning of 2030.

Feb 8, 9:04pm: Will Manifold be deplatformed by any of their payment processors or webhosting services? → Will Manifold be deplatformed by any of their payment processors or webhosting services over a refusal to moderate content?