Will I go to hell when I die?
53
แน€1.9k
9999
35%
chance

Resolves YES if I die and find myself in hell. Resolves NO if I die and find myself elsewhere. Resolves N/A if I die and it cannot be reliably determined where my soul is located.

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predicts YES

@stony Jesus only got 3 days. That's not enough to pay for Isaac's eternity.

predicts YES

@Mira ๐Ÿ˜‚.

Jesus' suffering was sufficient for all...

predicts YES

@stony Jesus the original utility monster.

Depends on whether being rich in Mana counts as actually rich

@ForrestTaylor I think I'm good now.

I recommend the Good Omens book to everyone who likes this market :)

This seems unfair, hell is much more likely to have an internet connection than heaven (but less likely than purgatory, which I imagine is just endless scrolling).

predicts NO

Let's say hypothetically you're let into a "heaven" and you're allowed to do one last thing on earth before you go. Would you commit to resolving this market?

@DesTiny Make such a commitment seems unwise.

@IsaacKing *Making

Really wish I could edit comments.

predicts NO

@IsaacKing Not a true manifolder smh

Would being revived from cryonic suspension cause you to resolve this market as no?

@TomShlomi It would resolve based on my location while in suspension.

@IsaacKing Location of your body?

@TomShlomi No, mind.

predicts NO

@IsaacKing What will you do if you're revived and you have no memory of anything since you died?

@TomShlomi

Resolves N/A if I die and it cannot be reliably determined where my soul is located.

predicts NO

This is ridiculous not only you're assuming that something such as hell exists and on top of that you think that he is going there after dying? This should be around 20% tops

@Simon1551 What's the base rate of people going to hell? Has there been any investigation into this?

predicts NO

@IsaacKing the error bars are large. Some theologians claim that nobody will be in hell, eg Rob Bell in Love Wins. Others that almost everyone will, eg anyone with a literal interpretation of Revelations.

60%? Oof.

No one seemed to ask how likely is it for you to be able to resolve this market after youโ€™ve died (or ended up in a hell or anything like that). ๐Ÿ˜

predicts NO

@degtorad I think everyone agrees that it's not a serious market obviously we won't where he goes, assuming that people go somewhere after they die. And I'm sure that even if it was a serious market I'm sure most of us won't be using this app by the time he joins the other world. ๐Ÿค”

@degtorad That doesn't matter for the market probability. It would only matter if I'm more likely to be able to resolve it YES than NO or vice versa.

predicts NO

@IsaacKing I mean it could effect the market's probability. Lets say someone is 99% sure you will go to hell, but they decide to only buy it up to 85% because they think it wouldn't be worth betting against the chance of an n/a resolve as it would mean he wouldn't be able to use it for a long time and not get anything in return. But I guess that applies for most markets

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