Resolves YES if I die and find myself in hell. Resolves NO if I die and find myself elsewhere. Resolves N/A if I die and it cannot be reliably determined where my soul is located.
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This seems unfair, hell is much more likely to have an internet connection than heaven (but less likely than purgatory, which I imagine is just endless scrolling).
Let's say hypothetically you're let into a "heaven" and you're allowed to do one last thing on earth before you go. Would you commit to resolving this market?
Would being revived from cryonic suspension cause you to resolve this market as no?
@IsaacKing What will you do if you're revived and you have no memory of anything since you died?
Resolves N/A if I die and it cannot be reliably determined where my soul is located.
This is ridiculous not only you're assuming that something such as hell exists and on top of that you think that he is going there after dying? This should be around 20% tops
@Simon1551 What's the base rate of people going to hell? Has there been any investigation into this?
@IsaacKing the error bars are large. Some theologians claim that nobody will be in hell, eg Rob Bell in Love Wins. Others that almost everyone will, eg anyone with a literal interpretation of Revelations.
No one seemed to ask how likely is it for you to be able to resolve this market after you’ve died (or ended up in a hell or anything like that). 😁
@IsaacKing I mean it could effect the market's probability. Lets say someone is 99% sure you will go to hell, but they decide to only buy it up to 85% because they think it wouldn't be worth betting against the chance of an n/a resolve as it would mean he wouldn't be able to use it for a long time and not get anything in return. But I guess that applies for most markets
