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MANIFOLD
Will Fable be reenabled for Americans before June 20?
672
Ṁ1kṀ130k
resolved Jun 21
Resolved
NO

Must be generally available in some sense.

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@IsaacKing Can resolve NO

After my first huge loss against @Bayesian , it has always felt bad to take a position against them 😬

@MarySmith I too am wary of him as a counterparty hazard.

Dario's latest strategy

@cthor honestly I think there's some substance in the free speech / LLM matrix

maybe more in the open source domain. Like perhaps it can be argued that prohibiting an individual from open sourcing an LLM is unconstitutional?

@0xseraphim If we grant that an LLM is your free speech, and if somebody jailbroke your LLM to make [edit: hate speech incitement, fraud, defamation,] or to facilitate unaliving someone, then are you accountable or liable for what it says?

@0xseraphim

Like perhaps it can be argued that prohibiting an individual from open sourcing an LLM is unconstitutional?

This is an interesting thought, though.

@Quroe if someone takes a pamphlet you wrote and reorders/edits a few of the words to turn it into a call for violence, to what extent would a court find you liable for the downstream consequences of that modified pamphlet?

@0xseraphim I want to say I'm having fun debating, first off.

I feel like this is more similar to putting your signature endorsement on something. Sure, if you put your signature endorsement on a pamphlet, then somebody edits the pamphlet, you're not liable for that.

But can you even put your signature endorsement on an LLM like that?

@Quroe hate speech is constitutionally protected

@MachiNi

Agh. Can I amend that argument's one point to something else applicable?

sold Ṁ94 NO

@Quroe incitement, fraud, defamation…

@MachiNi Yes, let's go with those.

@Quroe different constitutions in different countries. Also common law / civil law differences etc.

@Quroe libel laws might be the ones that are the most similar between jurisdictions. So if an open source LLM you released is accused of libel then how do courts tie that back to you?

@Quroe like was there something you injected into the model that causes some libellous claim to persist through modification? Did others inject this through their modifications?

@0xseraphim We're getting pretty close to this thought experiment, aren't we?

@0xseraphim In conclusion, somebody should ask the US Supreme Court if an AI you made is free speech.

I'd break out the popcorn for a watch party.

@Quroe seems really likely that this will be tested in a constitutional court this side of 2060

@0xseraphim You can't just say that on a prediction market site without making the market for it.

Follow through. 😄

Should've sized my bet way bigger on this market, idk what I was thinking

sold Ṁ1 NO

@bens Here is how you do it.

When the market is new, you open it up and buy No.

Then you buy No again.

Then when it goes down you sell it all and move on to the next thing.

This strategy is unparalleled. You are doing it right. Have confidence. Happy trading.

@Eliza massive volume in the screenshot. true optimization.