Will DALL-E 3 be able to reliably produce images of every common polygon?
Will DALL-E 3 be able to reliably produce images of every common polygon?
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450Ṁ14kresolved Dec 30
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Current image models are terrible at this. When DALL-E 3 comes out, people will have 1 week to find a prompt that works. (The timer starts when I get access, or when someone else gets access who's willing to test out prompts from anyone in the market.)
The prompt should be some string of text such that the name of a polygon can be inserted, and at least 50% of the generated images are the correct shape.
It must succeed on all polygons from the triangle to the octagon. It's ok if it fails on more esoteric ones.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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