Will anyone profit by at least M$500,000 on a single market by the end of 2023?
92
1.8kṀ130k
resolved May 16
Resolved
YES

I will ignore bets placed to manipulate this market, such as someone using an alt account to bet against themselves and have one of the accounts "profit" by M$150,000. I want this to be about "real" profit on "real" markets.

Only profit reflected on Manifold counts, not any private manalink deals. Any markets that resolved prior to this market being created don't count.

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predictedYES

Can resolve yes

predictedYES

Both Marcus and catnee have >500k profit on the WvM market even at the current price (17%}>

predictedYES

This is guaranteed to resolve Yes. Either Isaac wins the WvM market or Catnee/Me make 500k

predictedNO

@MarcusAbramovitch hmm, not necessarily. would it be 500k profit or just gross return?

@Stralor Marcus' position

predictedYES

@firstuserhere What happens if they both sell before resolution?

predictedNO

@MarcusAbramovitch I saw Austin's post on the WvM market, thought that meant they were going to cancel it or something, came here and bet on this thinking that because WvM was cancelled and they would change rules, no one would make this much.

Have regrets now.

predictedYES

@cloudprism don't think marcus would sell.

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