Will anyone profit by at least M$500,000 on a single market by the end of 2023?

353

Ṁ130K

Ṁ1.8K

resolved May 16

Resolved

YES

ALL

I will ignore bets placed to manipulate this market, such as someone using an alt account to bet against themselves and have one of the accounts "profit" by M$150,000. I want this to be about "real" profit on "real" markets.

Only profit reflected on Manifold counts, not any private manalink deals. Any markets that resolved prior to this market being created don't count.

Simlar markets on various profit values:

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ1,064
2		Ṁ807
3		Ṁ607
4		Ṁ157
5		Ṁ94

8 Comments

69 Holders

247 Trades

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predicted YES

Can resolve yes

predicted YES

Both Marcus and catnee have >500k profit on the WvM market even at the current price (17%}>

predicted YES

This is guaranteed to resolve Yes. Either Isaac wins the WvM market or Catnee/Me make 500k

predicted NO

@MarcusAbramovitch hmm, not necessarily. would it be 500k profit or just gross return?

bought Ṁ450 of YES

@Stralor Marcus' position

predicted YES

@firstuserhere What happens if they both sell before resolution?

predicted NO

@MarcusAbramovitch I saw Austin's post on the WvM market, thought that meant they were going to cancel it or something, came here and bet on this thinking that because WvM was cancelled and they would change rules, no one would make this much.

Have regrets now.