Manifold just implimented the ability for trustworthyish users to resolve other people's markets, with pretty much no guardrails. I could go and incorrectly resolve the largest market on Manifold right now. Seems potentially bad.
If one of my markets other than this one gets resolved by someone else in a manner I consider incorrect or otherwise disruptive, this market resolves to YES. Otherwise it resolves to NO at the end of the year.
if a resolution is put in place but soon after reverted, does this market still resolve YES?
I will hack the site and do it.
@MakrIngrajam Another to add to the list!
(This is the list, for anybody out of the loop.)
Manifold just implimented the ability for trustworthyish users to resolve other people's markets, with pretty much no guardrails.
Wait what? If you have a badge you can resolve any market? That's it?
@LarsDoucet yeah, just tested it, and it seems to work.
@LarsDoucet Yep. You should see a "resolve" button on this market, and if you press it, it'll work.
@IsaacKing wow this is a shocking amount of power
@CarsonGale Yep. Definitely makes the trustworthiness part of the badge matter a lot more.
@IsaacKing @Austin what's up with this policy? Seems a bit strange to me.
@LarsDoucet for a while, people have been complaining that certain markets take a long time to resolve when the creators are gone from the site, and that flagging admins doesn't help because the admins are overwhelmed. This change is intended to let trustworthy-ish users (many of whom are very active and notice when markets have met their criteria before admins do) to go ahead and resolve markets themselves.
We're asking trustworthy-ish users to do so when:
The market criteria has been met for a week or longer
There's no controversy about the correct resolution
And to leave a comment when doing so on the market
Of course, if we notice trustworthy-ish users abusing this, we always have the ability to 1) revert the market resolution and 2) demote the offending users. In practice, I expect this the occur in fewer than 2 out of 100 markets
@Austin I think it's a good idea and also adds prestige to becoming a "trustworthy.ish" user. I would be surprised if there are a lot of unintended resolutions - my first inclination is that I'll be unlikely to resolve anyone else's markets out of fear of losing the badge!
@Austin Oh so time has to elapse first okay
"I could go and incorrectly resolve the largest market on Manifold right now. Seems potentially bad." Well, given that admins can re-open and/or re-resolve, it doesn't seem worth losing all your reputation over zero profits.
Maybe change the criteria to exclude this market?
@MartinRandall Sure, that seems simpler.