Will any of my "Change my Mind" markets actually change my mind by the end of 2023?
79
447
1.2K
resolved Dec 22
Resolved
YES

I've created several markets in the Change My Mind group, where people express a belief and promise to resolve the market based on whether they change that belief. Then other people can try to change their mind in order to make the market resolve differently and turn a profit.

If information provided on any of those markets results in me changing my mind (i.e. the market probability shifting far away from where it started), this resolves YES.

Any future "Change My Mind" markets I make will also count for this.

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bought Ṁ400 of YES

@IsaacKing The kitkat market was tagged Change My Mind, and shifted from its start of 50%, down to 20%, and up to 100% (yes)!

predicted YES

@Panfilo @IsaacKing I believe this can resolve Yes

predicted YES

Hmm, yeah, I think Katja's suggestion was new information to me, so it counts.

bought Ṁ400 of YES

You have mind-changing positions held on a couple of them, and a few were overall around 50%, so I figured this meta market was way undervalued.

Are you going to bet in this market @IsaacKing ?

predicted NO

@levifinkelstein I already did