Will any market on Manifold have at least 100 likes by the end of 2023?
Manifold
17
172
แน€330
resolved May 15
Resolved
YES

Highest I can recall seeing so far is 47.

Get แน€200 play money

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[ADMIN] Resolving to YES

bought แน€438 of YES

@IsaacKing2 whales v Minnows got it

predicted YES

@firstuserhere 109 currently

bought แน€248 of YES

@firstuserhere

predicted YES

@firstuserhere FYI I'll see tags on that account much more slowly.

bought แน€8 of YES

There was atleast 66 which is the highest I've seen

bought แน€200 of YES

End of 2023? I'd be shocked if a threshold like that won't happen since it's so easily manipulable.

predicted YES

@Conflux It's possible to like resolved markets, so if any team YES bettors want to increase their odds, why not throw some more likes on this one: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-this-market-have-at-least-50-l

@Conflux Yeah, it's weird. If I had titled this market "Will this market get at least 100 likes by the end of 2023", I expect it probably would have gotten there by now, or at least be much closer and have higher probability. The actual title is strictly easier to achieve, but isn't as good a Schelling point I guess.

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