Will any market on Manifold have at least 100 likes by the end of 2023?
17
330Ṁ38k
resolved May 15
Resolved
YES

Highest I can recall seeing so far is 47.

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[ADMIN] Resolving to YES

@IsaacKing2 whales v Minnows got it

predictedYES

@firstuserhere 109 currently

predictedYES

@firstuserhere FYI I'll see tags on that account much more slowly.

There was atleast 66 which is the highest I've seen

End of 2023? I'd be shocked if a threshold like that won't happen since it's so easily manipulable.

predictedYES

@Conflux It's possible to like resolved markets, so if any team YES bettors want to increase their odds, why not throw some more likes on this one: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-this-market-have-at-least-50-l

@Conflux Yeah, it's weird. If I had titled this market "Will this market get at least 100 likes by the end of 2023", I expect it probably would have gotten there by now, or at least be much closer and have higher probability. The actual title is strictly easier to achieve, but isn't as good a Schelling point I guess.

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