Will any action market have at least 100 traders on Manifold by the end of 2023?

170Ṁ41k

resolved Oct 17

Resolved

YES

ALL

An "action market" refers to a market created to incentivize a certain action from traders in order to manipulate the market to a certain result. For example, the Valinor market, the "change my mind" group, etc.

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#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ60
2		Ṁ48
3		Ṁ25
4		Ṁ8
5		Ṁ2

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https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/by-the-end-of-2023-will-i-believe-t-856ef8ee236a?r=Um9iZXJ0Q291c2luZWF1

At the end of 2023, will I believe that cryptocurrency is significantly positive for the world?

49% chance. Currently I think cryptocurrency is mostly a curiosity. It's neither evil nor particularly useful. Many people disagree with this assessment. If my opinion remains unchanged, this market will resolve to 50%. If I'm convinced that crypto is good and I should be supporting it, it'll resolve to YES. If I'm convinced that crypto is bad and I should be opposing it, it'll resolve to NO.

predictedYES

@IsaacKing resolves yes.

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