To which social event in Berkeley should I go Tuesday night?
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24%
Puzzled Pint (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Puzzled_Pint)
24%
Metagame pregame (https://partiful.com/e/Fp2220Em4l00Cfil063V)
51%
ACX meetup (https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/meetups-everywhere-2025-times-and)

If I significantly enjoy the one I went to, resolves to that one.

Otherwise, I will ask around to hear what happened at the other two, and resolve to whichever of those two it sounds like I would have liked the most.

If I move around between multiple, I'll resolve to multiple if they were about equally good, or to just one if it was significantly better than the others.

I do not commit to attend the one with the highest probability, but will factor it into my decision. Comments with information will likely sway me more strongly.

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You can always go to next month's Puzzled Pint, can't you?

@asmith Not really, the nearest to where I live is about 400 km away. Though the uniqueness criterion is still a good one, both Puzzled Pint and ACX meetups I can at least potentially attend in the future.

Of course there might be more Metagames, but going to the first of something is always more special.

If I move around between multiple, I'll resolve in some reasonable way that roughly matches the above.

How will it resolve if your conclusion is "I should have moved around between multiple" (which I would put, like, 30% on being the right call)

@RickiHeicklen Equally between those I moved to and felt it was the correct call.

@Conflux Please advise

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