This market resolves to Yes. Max position Ṁ5 per person.
This market resolves to Yes. Max position Ṁ5 per person.
7
110Ṁ247resolved Nov 25
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
If any non-bot participant placs one or more bets on YES that total more than Ṁ5, I reserve the right to resolve the market to either N/A or to NO, in whatever way best punishes the user(s) who placed those invalid bets.
All my markets of this type with various maximum mana investments:
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| # | Name | Total profit |
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| 2 | Ṁ30 | |
| 3 | Ṁ0 |
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Resolved NO due to Yev trying to cheat the system. If you had bet yes fairly, leave a comment and I'll tip you.
This market resolves to Yes. Max position Ṁ5 per person., 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.