Is the natural frequency of abiogenesis at least 1/1 trillion planets per billion years?
7
1kṀ929
2100
77%
chance

Under current conditions in the universe, and using the IAU definition of "planet". (With "sun" replaced with "star" in that definition.) Not including anthropic effects, this is about the real rate.

Resolves once we can get an approximation of the answer that I'm confident is correct to within an order of magnitude.

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I think the IAU definition of planet specifically says they have to orbit the sun.

@digory Oh wow that's dumb. My bad. Strike criterion 1, replace with any star.

Would sufficient proof include an abundance of right-handed amino acids on Mars? Also what about abiogenesis on moons?

bought Ṁ1 YES

Would sufficient proof for you be that it was proven to have independently begun more than a given number of times here on earth?

@JussiVilleHeiskanen No, we don't know how to generalize that to other planets

@IsaacKing :-(

bought Ṁ50 YES

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I think the reason that doesn't work is because we dont know if earth is uniquely habitable

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