Is the natural frequency of abiogenesis at least 1/1 trillion planets per billion years?
2
1kṀ7322100
75%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Under current conditions in the universe, and using the IAU definition of "planet". Not including anthropic effects, this is about the real rate.
Resolves once we can get an approximation of the answer that I'm confident is correct to within an order of magnitude.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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