If/when humans send a mission to Alpha Centauri, will the subjective time experienced by the craft be more than 20 years?
9
210Ṁ126
2200
63%
chance

Alpha Centauri is about 4 light years away. Time dilation means that if the craft accellerates fast enough, the time it experiences can be arbitrarily low; possibly even less than 4 years.

See here for various theoretical methods and how long they would take.

Close date updated to 2200-01-01 12:00 am

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will there be a crewed mission to Saturn before 2050?
17% chance
Will an interstellar mission to Alpha Centauri be launched by 2100?
63% chance
Will an interstellar mission to alpha centauri be launched before 2040?
6% chance
Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2100?
63% chance
Will we send a spacecraft/probe or Jose Luis ricon to the proxima centauri/alpha centauri system by 2065?
29% chance
Will human civilization send a space probe to the Alpha Centauri system before 2075?
34% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Saturn before 2055?
36% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mercury before 2050?
-10% 1d61% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2050?
35% chance
When will the first human colony be established in Alpha Centauri
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy