By the end of 2028, will there be a public scandal about someone's brain signals being collected or analyzed without their consent?
244
2.4kṀ19k
2029
40%
chance

For example, someone goes in for a brain scan and isn't told that their brain waves are also going to be used for something else.

Must be a relatively big scandal, noticed by a few thousand people at least. A viral tweet, a major news article, etc.

Technology
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Canada face a large-scale government surveillance scandal in 2025 (threshold: parliamentary hearings)
32% chance
Will a neurotech company face a lawsuit over unauthorized brain data collection in 2025?
17% chance
Will anyone have their mind read without their prior consent before 2030?
22% chance
Do implanted brain-computer interfaces get put in anyone for reasons other than a medical treatment by 2026?
22% chance
Will a reliable useful neural device that transmits information about users thoughts be released before the end of 2028?
50% chance
Will I personally know someone with a Neuralink or other brain chip implant by the end of 2032?
25% chance
Will there be accurate, 'privacy violating' AI available for public use in the US by the end of 2030?
81% chance
Will AIs pay people to get their fMRI/EEG scans to model their brains for superhuman persuasion? (by 2035)
36% chance
Will Neuralink be used for reparative therapy before the end of 2035?
86% chance
Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before the end of 2036?
30% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy