If any market creators reach 500 resolutions by the end of 2023, will any of them have a perfect record?
16
61
310
Jan 1
59%
chance

Resolves N/A if no one reaches 500 resolutions. Resolves to YES if at least one creator reached 500 resolutions and got none incorrect. Resolves to NO otherwise.

Subjective markets where some traders think it was resolved incorrectly but others disagree don't count; I'm only asking about ones that were clearly wrong, be it due to fraud or misclick.

I'll ignore anyone trying to game this market such as by writing a script to create and resolve 500 markets.

Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Sort by:

@IsaacKing I had over 500 resolutions (per Manifold newsletter) for October-December 2023. Perfect record.

It would be pretty ironic if people disagreed about the resolution of this market as well.

It would be pretty ironic if people disagreed about the resolution of this market as well.

More related questions