Best citation for the fact that providing people with an incentive to predict correctly increases their accuracy
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Its kind of adjacent to what you are looking at, but I found this article very interesting: https://pubsonline.informs.org/doi/abs/10.1287/mnsc.2019.3294
There is of course also this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skin_in_the_Game_(book) which might give you some good leads.