At the beginning of 2040, will I have watched somebody die?
8
Ṁ150Ṁ2232040
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Inspired by https://twitter.com/eigenrobot/status/1705743497859318097.
Only counts me watching in person, not via camera.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will an MCU movie be released in 2040?
56% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2040?
85% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2060?
64% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2030?
96% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2050?
74% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2100?
22% chance
Will I still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
91% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2080?
44% chance
Will I be alive at the start of 2090?
32% chance
Will I be murdered before 2030?
3% chance