https://stoptherace.ai/ is doing an international march on Nov 14.

from https://aitreatymarch.org/:
> The time of voluntary commitments is over. On Nov 18, Trump meets Xi Jinping. We're asking them to start negotiating an international AI Treaty that bans the development of more powerful AI systems until we can proceed safely.

Probably they will not start negotiating an AI pause. But at the very least, will Trump and/or Xi Jinping discuss/mention pursuing an AI pause treaty at all? Or a pacing-the-frontier treaty, or any binding agreement intended to lengthen timelines.

At least one of Trump and Xi Jinping must mention the possibility of the treaty in a positive way (even conditionally) rather than in a dismissive way. So if one says "let's definitely not slow down" and the other says "I agree, let's not slow down under any circumstances" then this market resolves NO. If a reporter asks Trump when he's leaving about an AI pause treaty and Trump says "I will negotiate a pause treaty if and only if damages from AI in a single year exceed $1,000,000,000" then that's a conditional endorsement meaning this market resolves YES.

Resolves N/A if the summit does not occur, or if either Trump or Xi Jinping doesn't attend.